Many voters like Joseph Mitchum and Laura Brooks, who did not participate in the last presidential election, could play a critical role in deciding the outcome of the upcoming race for the White House. Recent polls show a significant advantage for Donald Trump among voters who did not vote in 2020, suggesting that they could be a key factor in determining the winner in November. However, it remains uncertain whether these non-2020 voters will actually show up to vote.
The polls indicate a substantial swing towards Trump among voters who did not participate in both the 2020 and 2022 elections, compared to those who did. This indicates the potential impact of infrequent voters on the election results. While some like Mitchum are committed to voting in 2024 and support Trump, others like Brooks may not vote despite expressing support for Trump in polls.
The data shows that Trump is overperforming with infrequent voters, who tend to have less interest in the upcoming election compared to frequent voters. These non-2020 voters often describe themselves as political moderates, lack college degrees, and are more likely to be younger voters. While some, like Maria Calderon, plan to vote for Trump, others like Kelly Torz support Biden due to issues like abortion rights and the environment.
Overall, the election could come down to Biden’s frequent voters versus Trump’s infrequent ones. The challenge for Trump lies in mobilizing these less interested voters to actually turn out and vote in November. The outcome of the election may ultimately hinge on whether these non-2020 voters show up at the polls or not.
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